Factors that predict the need for early surgeon presence in the setting of pediatric trauma

Introduction: Evidence based variables predicting the need for surgeon presence (NSP) on arrival of an injured child are limited. We sought to identify prehospital factors that best correlate with NSP and highest level of activation in pediatric trauma. A secondary analysis was also performed to determine whether injury severity score (ISS) was predictive of NSP in pediatric trauma. Methods: This was a retrospective, single institution study of injured patients age ≤ 16 years delivered from scene to our Pediatric Level I trauma center between January 2016 and June 2017. 526 patients had complete data available for analysis. NSP was previously described as the presence of any of these factors: intubation, transfusion, emergent operation with the trauma team/craniotomy with the neurosurgery team, vasopressors, interventional radiology, spinal cord Injury, chest tube, emergency department thoracotomy, intracranial pressure monitor, pericardiocentesis, or death in the trauma bay. Multivariable analysis was performed with covariates of interest including scene and ED arrival vitals and interventions. Results: Independent predictors of NSP and highest level of activation were GCS of ≤ 12 (OR 22.3), penetrating trauma (OR 5.4), and hypotension (age adjusted) (OR 10.2). We also found that ISS ≥ 16 was a poor indicator of NSP with a sensitivity of only 61%. Conclusion: A validated model based on these variables may be useful in predicting NSP and highest level of activation prior to arrival of pediatric trauma patients. NSP may augment assessment of over and undertriage in pediatric trauma patients as compared to the ISS/Cribari system alone.